Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.001082 0.001120 0.001159 0.001202 0.001247 0.001293 0.001345
2025-08-31 0.001028 0.001086 0.001146 0.001214 0.001289 0.001371 0.001465
2025-09-07 0.000980 0.001051 0.001127 0.001216 0.001317 0.001431 0.001568
2025-09-14 0.000933 0.001012 0.001100 0.001204 0.001327 0.001467 0.001644
2025-09-21 0.000891 0.000976 0.001072 0.001188 0.001328 0.001493 0.001706
2025-09-28 0.000859 0.000950 0.001052 0.001180 0.001336 0.001525 0.001776
2025-10-05 0.000816 0.000907 0.001012 0.001144 0.001308 0.001509 0.001783
2025-10-12 0.000792 0.000886 0.000996 0.001135 0.001312 0.001533 0.001842
2025-10-19 0.000775 0.000872 0.000988 0.001136 0.001327 0.001571 0.001921
2025-10-26 0.000754 0.000854 0.000972 0.001127 0.001328 0.001590 0.001974
2025-11-02 0.000741 0.000843 0.000966 0.001128 0.001342 0.001627 0.002054
2025-11-09 0.000725 0.000829 0.000954 0.001122 0.001347 0.001650 0.002115
2025-11-16 0.000707 0.000812 0.000939 0.001111 0.001345 0.001665 0.002166
2025-11-23 0.000702 0.000810 0.000944 0.001127 0.001379 0.001733 0.002304
2025-11-30 0.000692 0.000803 0.000941 0.001131 0.001398 0.001778 0.002410
2025-12-07 0.000677 0.000789 0.000928 0.001122 0.001396 0.001794 0.002469
2025-12-14 0.000662 0.000773 0.000912 0.001108 0.001388 0.001799 0.002509
2025-12-21 0.000649 0.000761 0.000902 0.001101 0.001389 0.001817 0.002573
2025-12-28 0.000628 0.000736 0.000874 0.001069 0.001352 0.001774 0.002527
2026-01-04 0.000617 0.000725 0.000864 0.001061 0.001350 0.001788 0.002582
2026-01-11 0.000609 0.000719 0.000860 0.001062 0.001361 0.001821 0.002677
2026-01-18 0.000599 0.000708 0.000850 0.001054 0.001358 0.001831 0.002728
2026-01-25 0.000592 0.000703 0.000846 0.001055 0.001369 0.001866 0.002829